Track record
Other validators publish user counts. We publish outcomes. Everything on this page is computed from the pool, kills included. Nothing is curated.
Survival scores across the judged pool, 0 to 100. A flattering scorer piles everything on the right. This pool bunches in the middle and dies on the left.
Zones follow the verdict bands: under 40 is kill territory, 40 to 69 wounded, 70 and up survives.
Two judges scoring the same idea far apart is signal, not noise: it usually marks an assumption one model bought and the other refused.
The panel now records the score gap between judges on every run. The current pool predates that instrumentation, so there are no recorded gaps to show.
The standard test for a scorer that flatters everything is a control run: feed it deliberately absurd ideas and historically successful ones, then check it can tell them apart. A validator that gives everything 75 out of 100 fails that test in one pass. Skeptral publishes its controls on this page.
The panel contained 5 of 5 deliberately absurd ideas. The best score any absurd idea managed was 16 out of 100. Every number below came straight off the live panel, not a spreadsheet.
Deliberately absurd
Selling ordinary pet rocks with a companion app that reminds you to feed the rock, except the rock does not eat.
A subscription service that ships customers bottled fresh air from my back garden, one bottle a week, for people who want to breathe premium outdoor air indoors.
An app that adds an imaginary thirteenth stair to any staircase using augmented reality, so users get a little extra cardio walking up stairs at home.
A monthly box of ice cubes shaped like slightly larger ice cubes, so you can chill your ice.
A SaaS platform that lets enterprises temporarily uninstall gravity in a chosen meeting room to boost creativity, billed per seat.
Now-proven, worded as they first sounded
A website where regular people rent out an air mattress on their living room floor to complete strangers for a night, cheaper than a hotel, with the host and guest reviewing each other.
An app that lets you summon a private black car to your exact location from your phone, watch it arrive on a map, and pay automatically with no cash, in cities where regulated taxis already exist.
A few lines of code that let any developer accept card payments on their website in an afternoon, without a merchant account, sales calls, or weeks of bank paperwork.
A public feed where people post short status messages of at most a couple of hundred characters about what they are doing right now, and follow other people's updates.
A folder on your computer that magically syncs its files to the internet and to all your other devices, so USB sticks and emailing yourself files become unnecessary.
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